If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The earlier the price appears the more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do a lot of research as soccer has now become a big earner for them. They have to accomplish this since they are only too conscious of the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder in this market and definately will exploit any snippets of news that may allow them to have an advantage. They advertise heavily within the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be only one odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is simply too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such could be the turnover on the rising IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are prepared to take a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This can be clearly great news for your arb maker. Because of this the maximum bets they will likely accept on a bet are much higher.
There are many varieties of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the very first goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards etc. In reality anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you will find too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but they are for mug punters only, the chances consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are looking for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer industry is to open accounts with European bookmakers since the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They will likely price up the sport in their own individual country as well as the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for instance is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This is great news for us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their countries these are depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is within midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There exists a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic in terms of events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of your home team get talked up as well as the odds might get skewed in their favour since the weight of money is overly wagered in their direction.
With that said the major bookmakers offer an early price, they will likely often advertise it within the national papers and in general stick to it. Which means that a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or make an effort to tempt funds in their direction by providing different odds. If the would happen the arb may be around for a large amount of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick around the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But remember they are ‘guessing’ what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. They may be basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae however they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can have it wrong along with other firms can require a completely different take a look at the end result of the game. An entirely different view will only result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be covered by a number of different bookmakers all over Europe. This does however put in a complication. Although really simple for finding arbs, the mere simple fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw in the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers should you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand it really is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the advantages and disadvantages with this strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure area of betting and when someone was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it may ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as much different type of sport and events as is possible which means that your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as numerous different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will also produce arbs and they are less likely to bring in focus on you and the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you cannot control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is actually a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to one winning one can be useful on the account. The point the following is which not many people are thinking about the lower European divisions and it also may become clear that this betting pattern is a little unusual. This is especially true should your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. In case a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and then he is definitely the teams star striker than the will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned up to play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices since the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or will not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can work as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television channels also have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and therefore are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all simultaneously, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are the one that wont change the existing price is the one that is going to and so may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then the arbs are much more likely to look.
Recently the English referees have grown to be more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. A few of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others did not. This can impact the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s look at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say likelihood of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity involving the teams where case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this kind of bet is not going to figure strongly in your plans. Plus it is unusual to discover information being issued that will impact the total bookings bet. But a simple piece of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The actual final outcome is not to expect too much sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards however it simple enough to check the percentages.